NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI SCU
Points 74.3 74.7
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 21.2
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.3
Shooting UCI SCU
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 58.5
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 43.4 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 20.6
Free Throw % 75.7% 69.6%
Ball Control UCI SCU
Rebounds 33.9 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.0
Turnovers 8.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.2
Steals 5.8 3.9
Fouls 17.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI SCU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 71.8
% of Possessions with UCI SCU
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 23.1%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.5%
Turnover 12.3% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI SCU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 30.9%