NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI CSN
Points 77.9 69.5
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 13.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 15.5
Shooting UCI CSN
Field Goals Made 26.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 58.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 13.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 19.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 22.8
Free Throw % 75.7% 67.7%
Ball Control UCI CSN
Rebounds 38.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.8
Turnovers 11.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 6.8 5.6
Fouls 17.9 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: UC Irvine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI CSN
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 72.3
% of Possessions with UCI CSN
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 15.8%
Player Fouled 26.0% 23.8%
Turnover 14.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI CSN
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 26.0%