NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCI UTAH
Points 73.1 79.2
Total Points   152.3
Points From 2-Pointers 43.6 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 26.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.2
Shooting UCI UTAH
Field Goals Made 27.3 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 60.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 47.7 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 19.2
Free Throw % 75.7% 63.4%
Ball Control UCI UTAH
Rebounds 36.6 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 29.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 8.8
Turnovers 9.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.8
Steals 5.3 4.7
Fouls 16.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCI UTAH
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 72.4
% of Possessions with UCI UTAH
2 Point Attempt 55.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.3% 22.5%
Turnover 12.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCI UTAH
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 24.7%