NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC TST
Points 76.6 66.9
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.7 17.1
Points From Free Throws 19.6 14.4
Shooting GRC TST
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 60.0
Field Goal % 44.8% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 42.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 19.6 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 19.0
Free Throw % 76.0% 75.8%
Ball Control GRC TST
Rebounds 40.8 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.6
Turnovers 11.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.2
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 15.0 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC TST
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.3
% of Possessions with GRC TST
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 21.3%
Player Fouled 24.3% 20.9%
Turnover 16.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC TST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 37.3% 27.4%