NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRC UVU
Points 73.5 60.2
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 13.3
Points From Free Throws 20.8 13.8
Shooting GRC UVU
Field Goals Made 23.1 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 58.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 36.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 41.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 39.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 27.4%
Free Throws Made 20.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 21.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 65.3%
Ball Control GRC UVU
Rebounds 40.2 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.7
Turnovers 11.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.9
Steals 8.0 5.7
Fouls 16.0 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRC UVU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 70.5
% of Possessions with GRC UVU
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 19.0%
Player Fouled 25.5% 22.2%
Turnover 15.5% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRC UVU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 10.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 26.4%