NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS RUTG
Points 71.7 63.6
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 15.5
Points From Free Throws 15.5 12.6
Shooting WIS RUTG
Field Goals Made 24.3 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 54.9
Field Goal % 43.1% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 15.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 18.7
Free Throw % 75.1% 67.7%
Ball Control WIS RUTG
Rebounds 38.2 31.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 7.9
Turnovers 11.2 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.4
Steals 6.4 5.6
Fouls 14.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS RUTG
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 66.4
% of Possessions with WIS RUTG
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 21.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 21.2%
Turnover 16.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS RUTG
Shot Blocked 9.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 22.4%