NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS MICH
Points 81.0 71.0
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.3 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 21.5
Points From Free Throws 14.8 13.1
Shooting WIS MICH
Field Goals Made 29.5 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 52.7
Field Goal % 49.4% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 14.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 18.5
Free Throw % 75.1% 70.8%
Ball Control WIS MICH
Rebounds 33.2 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.8
Turnovers 7.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.4
Steals 7.3 3.3
Fouls 15.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS MICH
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 64.2
% of Possessions with WIS MICH
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.7% 22.2%
Turnover 11.0% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS MICH
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 22.2%