NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LBSU UCRV
Points 77.8 73.9
Total Points   151.7
Points From 2-Pointers 45.5 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 33.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 12.7
Shooting LBSU UCRV
Field Goals Made 28.0 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 63.6
Field Goal % 48.0% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 16.5 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 17.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 71.1%
Ball Control LBSU UCRV
Rebounds 40.2 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 10.8
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 1.1
Steals 4.7 5.0
Fouls 14.4 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LBSU UCRV
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 74.2
% of Possessions with LBSU UCRV
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 36.9%
Player Fouled 23.9% 19.8%
Turnover 13.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LBSU UCRV
Shot Blocked 1.8% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 26.2%