NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING FOR
Points 64.9 74.8
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.2 24.2
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.5
Shooting BING FOR
Field Goals Made 21.8 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 60.3
Field Goal % 42.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.7 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 24.6
Free Throw % 66.4% 67.2%
Ball Control BING FOR
Rebounds 35.8 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 11.6
Turnovers 13.7 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 7.3
Steals 3.7 7.7
Fouls 16.6 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING FOR
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 75.1
% of Possessions with BING FOR
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 16.7% 29.3%
Player Fouled 26.3% 23.1%
Turnover 19.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING FOR
Shot Blocked 12.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 29.3%