NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CIN M-OH
Points 76.7 60.1
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 21.9
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.0
Shooting CIN M-OH
Field Goals Made 28.6 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 56.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 37.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 38.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 15.3
Free Throw % 68.9% 71.5%
Ball Control CIN M-OH
Rebounds 46.1 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.2 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 6.1
Turnovers 10.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.3 2.4
Steals 6.6 5.3
Fouls 13.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Cincinnati

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CIN M-OH
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 64.7
% of Possessions with CIN M-OH
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 26.5%
Player Fouled 19.3% 19.7%
Turnover 14.6% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CIN M-OH
Shot Blocked 4.4% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 39.9% 16.3%