NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BING UMBC
Points 76.4 79.2
Total Points   155.6
Points From 2-Pointers 45.2 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 25.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.2
Shooting BING UMBC
Field Goals Made 28.8 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 63.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 16.5
Free Throw % 66.4% 67.9%
Ball Control BING UMBC
Rebounds 40.8 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 7.3
Turnovers 10.1 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.7
Steals 5.1 4.2
Fouls 14.4 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Binghamton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BING UMBC
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 73.4
% of Possessions with BING UMBC
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.2%
Turnover 13.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BING UMBC
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 19.9%