NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SHSU SEA
Points 68.7 73.0
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 15.7
Shooting SHSU SEA
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 54.8
Field Goal % 41.5% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.0
Free Throw % 72.3% 74.7%
Ball Control SHSU SEA
Rebounds 34.7 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 8.8
Turnovers 10.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.8
Steals 5.7 4.7
Fouls 17.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Sam Hous St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SHSU SEA
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 68.2
% of Possessions with SHSU SEA
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 23.5% 23.9%
Turnover 14.8% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SHSU SEA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 26.5%