NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO IDST
Points 76.2 72.4
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 45.9 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 20.7
Points From Free Throws 11.4 12.7
Shooting UNCO IDST
Field Goals Made 29.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.5
Field Goal % 51.9% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 23.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 11.4 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 18.2
Free Throw % 74.6% 70.0%
Ball Control UNCO IDST
Rebounds 32.4 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 9.1
Turnovers 10.8 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.4
Steals 5.4 6.5
Fouls 15.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Colorado

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO IDST
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 69.9
% of Possessions with UNCO IDST
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 26.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.5%
Turnover 15.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO IDST
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 25.7%