NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU BRAD
Points 64.3 73.2
Total Points   137.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 27.7
Points From Free Throws 14.2 10.3
Shooting MOSU BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 61.8
Field Goal % 37.9% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 14.2 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 13.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 74.3%
Ball Control MOSU BRAD
Rebounds 39.1 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.5
Turnovers 11.2 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.9
Steals 4.2 6.4
Fouls 12.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU BRAD
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 70.3
% of Possessions with MOSU BRAD
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 33.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 17.8%
Turnover 16.2% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU BRAD
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 25.9%