NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY CCU
Points 90.1 65.9
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.1 17.3
Points From Free Throws 19.0 11.5
Shooting BAY CCU
Field Goals Made 29.9 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 56.7
Field Goal % 49.4% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.4 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 19.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 16.5
Free Throw % 73.1% 69.4%
Ball Control BAY CCU
Rebounds 40.1 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 7.2
Turnovers 7.8 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.2
Steals 8.2 4.8
Fouls 14.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Coastal Car

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY CCU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 66.6
% of Possessions with BAY CCU
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 22.7%
Player Fouled 23.0% 19.6%
Turnover 10.8% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY CCU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 35.5% 20.6%