NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK NICH
Points 71.1 79.2
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 31.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.0
Shooting CARK NICH
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 57.6
Field Goal % 40.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 42.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 23.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 72.4%
Ball Control CARK NICH
Rebounds 35.8 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.3
Turnovers 11.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.1
Steals 6.7 7.8
Fouls 15.9 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK NICH
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.6
% of Possessions with CARK NICH
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 30.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.7%
Turnover 15.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK NICH
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 26.3%