NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO WYO
Points 78.0 79.2
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 25.2
Points From Free Throws 9.9 15.8
Shooting UNCO WYO
Field Goals Made 29.8 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 57.6
Field Goal % 49.2% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 9.9 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 21.0
Free Throw % 74.6% 75.2%
Ball Control UNCO WYO
Rebounds 31.6 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.1
Turnovers 9.7 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 6.2 5.1
Fouls 17.0 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO WYO
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 70.1
% of Possessions with UNCO WYO
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 26.8%
Player Fouled 17.1% 23.8%
Turnover 13.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO WYO
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 24.5%