NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN HARV
Points 71.0 66.6
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 18.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 14.9
Shooting BRWN HARV
Field Goals Made 25.1 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 55.4
Field Goal % 41.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 21.4
Free Throw % 65.0% 69.8%
Ball Control BRWN HARV
Rebounds 40.2 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.3
Turnovers 10.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.9
Steals 5.9 6.3
Fouls 15.3 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN HARV
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 67.8
% of Possessions with BRWN HARV
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 25.1%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.9%
Turnover 15.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN HARV
Shot Blocked 7.2% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.5% 25.9%