NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG LAS
Points 67.0 82.6
Total Points   149.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 9.9 26.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 14.2
Shooting MORG LAS
Field Goals Made 24.8 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 62.7
Field Goal % 40.4% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 49.3 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 12.1 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 14.1 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 19.9
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.6%
Ball Control MORG LAS
Rebounds 35.4 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 15.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG LAS
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 74.8
% of Possessions with MORG LAS
2 Point Attempt 58.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 14.3% 26.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 21.4%
Turnover 14.6% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG LAS
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 30.8%