NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU SMC
Points 59.7 73.7
Total Points   133.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 23.8
Points From Free Throws 12.7 10.3
Shooting MOSU SMC
Field Goals Made 21.1 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 63.8
Field Goal % 39.2% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.7 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 15.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 67.1%
Ball Control MOSU SMC
Rebounds 31.9 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 13.3
Turnovers 9.9 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 5.0
Steals 3.4 6.2
Fouls 12.7 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: St Marys

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU SMC
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 73.2
% of Possessions with MOSU SMC
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.7% 28.5%
Player Fouled 22.1% 18.9%
Turnover 14.7% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU SMC
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 18.6% 34.4%