NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK ORU
Points 69.7 78.4
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 29.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 34.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.0
Shooting CARK ORU
Field Goals Made 24.2 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 59.6
Field Goal % 39.8% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 18.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 77.1%
Ball Control CARK ORU
Rebounds 37.9 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.9
Turnovers 10.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.7
Steals 5.4 5.8
Fouls 13.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK ORU
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 70.3
% of Possessions with CARK ORU
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 35.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.8%
Turnover 14.0% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK ORU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 22.4%