NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU STJOE
Points 70.4 74.9
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 31.3
Points From Free Throws 12.0 10.9
Shooting MOSU STJOE
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 64.7
Field Goal % 42.0% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.0 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 15.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.9%
Ball Control MOSU STJOE
Rebounds 40.7 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.3
Turnovers 10.7 8.1
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.6
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 13.0 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU STJOE
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 73.1
% of Possessions with MOSU STJOE
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 37.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.3%
Turnover 15.1% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU STJOE
Shot Blocked 7.2% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 25.9%