NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BAY WASH
Points 83.9 77.7
Total Points   161.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 22.0
Points From Free Throws 18.4 13.7
Shooting BAY WASH
Field Goals Made 28.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.9
Field Goal % 47.6% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 19.2
Free Throw % 73.1% 71.5%
Ball Control BAY WASH
Rebounds 37.6 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 6.8
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 17.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BAY WASH
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 69.3
% of Possessions with BAY WASH
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 25.5%
Player Fouled 23.6% 23.1%
Turnover 13.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken BAY WASH
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 20.7%