NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK SELA
Points 69.3 73.4
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 28.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 29.4
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.2
Shooting CARK SELA
Field Goals Made 24.0 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.1
Field Goal % 41.1% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 74.0%
Ball Control CARK SELA
Rebounds 34.6 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.8
Turnovers 11.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.8
Steals 6.4 7.7
Fouls 14.5 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK SELA
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 70.0
% of Possessions with CARK SELA
2 Point Attempt 36.5% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 30.3%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.5%
Turnover 16.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK SELA
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 30.1%