NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCO WVU
Points 76.9 80.9
Total Points   157.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 26.4
Points From Free Throws 10.3 14.8
Shooting UNCO WVU
Field Goals Made 28.4 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 58.0
Field Goal % 46.1% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 40.0%
Free Throws Made 10.3 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 21.1
Free Throw % 74.6% 70.4%
Ball Control UNCO WVU
Rebounds 31.8 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.0
Turnovers 9.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.3
Steals 6.0 4.6
Fouls 16.5 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCO WVU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 70.8
% of Possessions with UNCO WVU
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 27.0%
Player Fouled 16.6% 22.8%
Turnover 13.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCO WVU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 24.1%