NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU XAV
Points 72.7 76.6
Total Points   149.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 22.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 14.7
Shooting MOSU XAV
Field Goals Made 27.1 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 65.5
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 12.6 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 19.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 75.8%
Ball Control MOSU XAV
Rebounds 38.9 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 11.4
Turnovers 10.4 8.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.1
Steals 3.8 6.1
Fouls 14.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Missouri St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU XAV
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 76.3
% of Possessions with MOSU XAV
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 25.0%
Player Fouled 19.4% 20.3%
Turnover 14.2% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU XAV
Shot Blocked 6.4% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 28.5%