NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK UNF
Points 70.1 82.0
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 23.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 44.9
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.0
Shooting CARK UNF
Field Goals Made 24.9 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 59.2
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 11.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.2 22.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 36.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 18.1
Free Throw % 75.3% 77.2%
Ball Control CARK UNF
Rebounds 37.5 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.9
Turnovers 10.2 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 13.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK UNF
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 70.1
% of Possessions with CARK UNF
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 27.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 45.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.3%
Turnover 14.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK UNF
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 22.8%