NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU UNI
Points 69.6 70.0
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.7
Shooting MOSU UNI
Field Goals Made 25.2 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 59.6
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 19.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 70.8%
Ball Control MOSU UNI
Rebounds 38.5 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.0
Turnovers 10.6 7.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.2
Steals 3.9 6.0
Fouls 15.0 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU UNI
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 70.5
% of Possessions with MOSU UNI
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 28.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.5%
Turnover 15.3% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU UNI
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 21.2%