NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN PENN
Points 75.3 71.1
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 23.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 11.6
Shooting BRWN PENN
Field Goals Made 26.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 59.0
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 11.8 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 16.5
Free Throw % 65.0% 70.2%
Ball Control BRWN PENN
Rebounds 37.0 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.4
Turnovers 9.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.9
Steals 4.6 5.4
Fouls 13.2 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN PENN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 68.9
% of Possessions with BRWN PENN
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 30.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.1%
Turnover 13.3% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN PENN
Shot Blocked 3.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 26.4%