NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK L-IL
Points 60.2 81.0
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 31.8
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.7
Shooting CARK L-IL
Field Goals Made 19.9 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 57.7
Field Goal % 35.3% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 36.8% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 23.3
Free Throw % 75.3% 67.6%
Ball Control CARK L-IL
Rebounds 33.1 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.7
Turnovers 13.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.8
Steals 6.1 8.6
Fouls 16.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK L-IL
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 71.7
% of Possessions with CARK L-IL
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 31.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.1%
Turnover 18.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK L-IL
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 28.2%