NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU VCU
Points 62.5 70.5
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 27.2
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.8
Shooting MOSU VCU
Field Goals Made 21.6 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 59.5
Field Goal % 37.6% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 16.5
Free Throw % 70.3% 77.2%
Ball Control MOSU VCU
Rebounds 38.4 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.2
Turnovers 10.4 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.9
Steals 4.2 6.3
Fouls 13.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU VCU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 69.4
% of Possessions with MOSU VCU
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 33.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.6%
Turnover 15.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU VCU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 24.8%