NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN URI
Points 76.4 72.3
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 18.2
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.6
Shooting BRWN URI
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 55.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 23.6
Free Throw % 65.0% 66.1%
Ball Control BRWN URI
Rebounds 36.4 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.8
Turnovers 9.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.9
Steals 5.7 4.6
Fouls 16.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN URI
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 69.1
% of Possessions with BRWN URI
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 22.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 23.3%
Turnover 12.8% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN URI
Shot Blocked 5.3% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 28.5%