NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN SJU
Points 64.9 81.4
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 46.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 13.8 16.1
Shooting BRWN SJU
Field Goals Made 21.9 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 62.5
Field Goal % 38.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.1% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 74.2%
Ball Control BRWN SJU
Rebounds 33.4 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 14.5
Turnovers 12.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.6
Steals 5.2 6.6
Fouls 14.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Johns

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN SJU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 76.3
% of Possessions with BRWN SJU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 22.4%
Player Fouled 23.4% 20.7%
Turnover 17.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN SJU
Shot Blocked 10.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 40.2%