NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BRWN STON
Points 71.7 70.4
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.2 19.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 13.8
Shooting BRWN STON
Field Goals Made 24.6 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 58.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 19.0
Free Throw % 65.0% 72.8%
Ball Control BRWN STON
Rebounds 39.5 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.1
Turnovers 9.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.0
Steals 5.3 5.7
Fouls 14.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Brown

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BRWN STON
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 69.9
% of Possessions with BRWN STON
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.2%
Turnover 14.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken BRWN STON
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 25.2%