NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK WICH
Points 65.8 79.8
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.8
Shooting CARK WICH
Field Goals Made 23.4 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 62.0
Field Goal % 37.5% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 19.8
Free Throw % 75.3% 69.7%
Ball Control CARK WICH
Rebounds 34.7 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.5
Turnovers 11.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 6.9 7.5
Fouls 13.7 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK WICH
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 74.1
% of Possessions with CARK WICH
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 24.4%
Player Fouled 17.0% 18.9%
Turnover 15.2% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK WICH
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 31.9%