NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MORG NORF
Points 65.5 78.2
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 16.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 19.7
Shooting MORG NORF
Field Goals Made 22.3 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 56.3
Field Goal % 41.8% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 16.4 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 27.4
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.8%
Ball Control MORG NORF
Rebounds 32.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 11.9
Turnovers 14.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.6
Steals 4.6 8.5
Fouls 17.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MORG NORF
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 73.3
% of Possessions with MORG NORF
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 19.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 24.9%
Turnover 20.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 11.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MORG NORF
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 34.7%