NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MOSU INST
Points 72.0 82.4
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 34.1
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.8
Shooting MOSU INST
Field Goals Made 27.2 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 61.7
Field Goal % 44.2% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 17.1
Free Throw % 70.3% 80.7%
Ball Control MOSU INST
Rebounds 36.0 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.1
Turnovers 9.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.0
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 14.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MOSU INST
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 71.1
% of Possessions with MOSU INST
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 38.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.7%
Turnover 13.5% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MOSU INST
Shot Blocked 3.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 20.5%