NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CARK UTAH
Points 64.1 90.1
Total Points   154.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 38.1
Points From Free Throws 10.7 13.1
Shooting CARK UTAH
Field Goals Made 22.7 32.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 62.8
Field Goal % 35.6% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 37.9% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 43.2%
Free Throws Made 10.7 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 20.7
Free Throw % 75.3% 63.4%
Ball Control CARK UTAH
Rebounds 33.2 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.5
Turnovers 10.7 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.1
Steals 5.7 6.8
Fouls 16.2 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CARK UTAH
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 75.5
% of Possessions with CARK UTAH
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 34.2%
Player Fouled 16.9% 21.8%
Turnover 14.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CARK UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 30.0%