NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORST STAN
Points 72.3 75.0
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 25.1
Points From Free Throws 11.7 13.7
Shooting ORST STAN
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 56.1
Field Goal % 45.6% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 18.6
Free Throw % 73.5% 73.9%
Ball Control ORST STAN
Rebounds 32.5 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 7.5
Turnovers 10.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.4
Steals 6.1 5.0
Fouls 16.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORST STAN
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 67.4
% of Possessions with ORST STAN
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 22.5%
Turnover 15.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORST STAN
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 23.1%