NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST SUU
Points 73.8 72.5
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 45.5 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 15.2
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.2
Shooting IDST SUU
Field Goals Made 27.9 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 55.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 21.3
Free Throw % 70.0% 71.3%
Ball Control IDST SUU
Rebounds 34.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.6
Turnovers 9.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 6.2 5.6
Fouls 16.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST SUU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 67.9
% of Possessions with IDST SUU
2 Point Attempt 52.6% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.0% 19.4%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.6%
Turnover 14.1% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST SUU
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 26.7%