NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IDST WEB
Points 68.8 72.2
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 18.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.0
Shooting IDST WEB
Field Goals Made 25.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 51.5
Field Goal % 48.7% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.9% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 19.1
Free Throw % 70.0% 73.7%
Ball Control IDST WEB
Rebounds 29.5 28.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 6.5
Turnovers 10.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.2
Steals 5.2 6.2
Fouls 15.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IDST WEB
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 63.4 62.8
% of Possessions with IDST WEB
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 22.0%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.3%
Turnover 16.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IDST WEB
Shot Blocked 2.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 23.1%