NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART BC
Points 58.2 78.5
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 30.2
Points From Free Throws 8.8 9.6
Shooting DART BC
Field Goals Made 20.9 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 60.1
Field Goal % 39.1% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 8.8 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 12.9
Free Throw % 66.3% 74.4%
Ball Control DART BC
Rebounds 31.1 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 7.3
Turnovers 11.8 6.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.8
Steals 3.6 6.9
Fouls 12.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART BC
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 61.2 67.6
% of Possessions with DART BC
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 32.7%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.2%
Turnover 17.6% 10.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART BC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 22.6%