NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART CLMB
Points 65.7 74.7
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 30.6
Points From Free Throws 9.6 9.8
Shooting DART CLMB
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 59.0
Field Goal % 44.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 9.6 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 13.8
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.3%
Ball Control DART CLMB
Rebounds 32.8 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.2
Turnovers 12.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.4
Steals 4.1 7.7
Fouls 12.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART CLMB
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 66.7
% of Possessions with DART CLMB
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 32.5%
Player Fouled 21.1% 17.7%
Turnover 17.6% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART CLMB
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 21.5%