NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART BU
Points 61.6 65.7
Total Points   127.3
Points From 2-Pointers 25.7 28.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 27.7
Points From Free Throws 11.4 9.4
Shooting DART BU
Field Goals Made 21.0 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 49.9 57.9
Field Goal % 42.1% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.1 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 11.4 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 13.0
Free Throw % 66.3% 72.2%
Ball Control DART BU
Rebounds 33.6 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 7.6
Turnovers 11.5 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.3
Steals 4.2 7.2
Fouls 11.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART BU
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 59.9 65.5
% of Possessions with DART BU
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 34.3%
Player Fouled 23.8% 18.0%
Turnover 17.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART BU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.1% 21.0%