NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DART GRAM
Points 60.5 65.1
Total Points   125.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 18.4
Points From Free Throws 10.7 10.6
Shooting DART GRAM
Field Goals Made 21.3 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 56.6
Field Goal % 41.5% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 10.7 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 15.0
Free Throw % 66.3% 70.7%
Ball Control DART GRAM
Rebounds 34.6 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.4
Turnovers 12.7 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 4.0 7.8
Fouls 11.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DART GRAM
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 61.2 65.4
% of Possessions with DART GRAM
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 21.0%
Player Fouled 21.2% 17.6%
Turnover 19.0% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken DART GRAM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 21.3%