NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR OSU
Points 72.8 80.5
Total Points   153.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.1 17.0
Shooting COR OSU
Field Goals Made 26.5 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 59.7
Field Goal % 43.2% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 11.1 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 22.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 75.2%
Ball Control COR OSU
Rebounds 31.9 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 12.0
Turnovers 10.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.3
Steals 5.6 5.4
Fouls 17.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR OSU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 74.1
% of Possessions with COR OSU
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 24.7%
Turnover 14.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR OSU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 34.2%