NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COR COLG
Points 72.8 70.4
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 22.4
Points From Free Throws 10.4 11.1
Shooting COR COLG
Field Goals Made 26.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 57.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 10.4 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 16.6
Free Throw % 74.2% 66.6%
Ball Control COR COLG
Rebounds 33.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.2
Turnovers 9.9 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.8
Steals 6.6 5.9
Fouls 13.7 11.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COR COLG
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 68.0
% of Possessions with COR COLG
2 Point Attempt 36.9% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 38.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 19.7%
Turnover 14.2% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken COR COLG
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 26.4%