NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK ARMY
Points 63.6 56.6
Total Points   120.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 25.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 22.9
Points From Free Throws 10.8 8.5
Shooting BUCK ARMY
Field Goals Made 22.1 20.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 53.9
Field Goal % 42.2% 37.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 12.6
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 10.8 8.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 14.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 60.0%
Ball Control BUCK ARMY
Rebounds 35.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 9.4
Turnovers 10.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.1
Steals 6.4 5.1
Fouls 13.5 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK ARMY
Total Possessions 63.5
Effective Scoring Chances 61.3 62.8
% of Possessions with BUCK ARMY
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 35.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.2%
Turnover 15.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK ARMY
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.7%