NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NDSU NEB
Points 67.8 87.4
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 27.0
Points From Free Throws 10.7 14.2
Shooting NDSU NEB
Field Goals Made 24.1 32.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 58.7
Field Goal % 41.4% 54.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 18.7
Free Throw % 74.1% 76.0%
Ball Control NDSU NEB
Rebounds 29.9 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.4
Turnovers 11.4 7.7
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.2
Steals 3.3 5.8
Fouls 13.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NDSU NEB
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 70.2
% of Possessions with NDSU NEB
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 19.3%
Turnover 16.1% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 4.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NDSU NEB
Shot Blocked 5.5% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 25.1%