NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BUCK AMER
Points 65.8 63.4
Total Points   129.3
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 25.0
Points From Free Throws 9.9 11.0
Shooting BUCK AMER
Field Goals Made 23.2 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 52.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 25.5 26.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 9.9 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 15.4
Free Throw % 70.3% 71.6%
Ball Control BUCK AMER
Rebounds 31.4 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.9
Turnovers 10.3 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.5
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 14.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BUCK AMER
Total Possessions 62.9
Effective Scoring Chances 59.8 62.5
% of Possessions with BUCK AMER
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 35.7%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.1%
Turnover 16.3% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BUCK AMER
Shot Blocked 2.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 27.0%